Goldman Sachs Upgrades Palantir to Buy as Sovereign AI Drives Growth

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According to Woofun AI, Goldman Sachs (GS.US) analyst Gabriela Borges formally upgraded Palantir Technologies (PLTR.US) from Neutral to Buy on Thursday, with the core rationale being that surging demand for autonomous AI systems and customized applications is significantly broadening the company's total addressable market.

Despite facing intense competition, Borges believes Palantir can maintain its advantage through its unique engineering model and kept her 12-month price target unchanged at $230.

Sovereign AI has become a central pillar of Palantir's strategic messaging. The company attributed its strong second-quarter results to clients' strong desire for data sovereignty — they want to integrate AI into their internal systems rather than hand data over to frontier language model research organizations such as OpenAI, Google under Alphabet (GOOGL.US), Anthropic, or Meta (META.US), formerly Facebook.

CEO Alex Karp stated bluntly in last quarter's shareholder letter that customers refuse to become vassals of these research institutions. Notably, Palantir's advanced engineering model has engineers working directly with clients, using AI automation to create a tight feedback loop between field teams and product teams.

According to data compiled by Woofun AI, while CrowdStrike (CRWD.US) Holdings' SafeMind cybersecurity model and Datadog (DDOG.US)'s adaptive machine learning technology already possess in-house development capabilities, Borges pointed out that enterprise AI applications are still in their early stages, and industries with lower technical talent density will present enormous growth opportunities for Palantir, allowing it to dominate in markets lacking internal R&D capabilities.

Strong financial data further confirms this logic. Second-quarter revenue grew 93% year-over-year to $1.94 billion, far exceeding the market expectation of $1.8 billion. By segment, U.S. commercial business revenue surged 149% to $764 million, while U.S. government revenue rose 90% to $809 million.

Based on this, Palantir raised its full-year revenue guidance to $8.15 billion to $8.16 billion, up from the previous guidance of $7.65 billion to $7.66 billion. Karp said this positive momentum will last at least another 18 months.

On the stock side, Palantir shares have gained nearly 47% over the past three months. Despite a weak first half and a 29% decline before the August earnings release, the stock rebounded 29.5% in a single day on August 4. In Thursday's premarket trading, the stock rose 2.33% to $198.65.

Wall Street consensus is broadly bullish, but Goldman Sachs's view is more optimistic. According to Benzinga Pro data, among 21 tracked analysts, 16 gave a Buy rating, 4 gave Hold, and 1 gave Sell. These analysts' average price target is $199, only 0.3% above Wednesday's closing price of $194.12.

By contrast, Goldman Sachs's $230 price target implies roughly 18.5% upside, about 15.6% above the average target. As the sovereign AI concept deepens, Palantir is transforming from a pure software vendor into a critical infrastructure provider, and the re-rating of its valuation logic has only just begun.

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