Option Focus | CoreWeave’s Out-of-the-Money Call Buying at $105 Strike Signals Bullish Conviction Despite Low IV Percentile

Option Witch
2 hours ago

CoreWeave closed at $88.45, down 3.57%.

Despite the daily decline, options activity leaned bullish. The standout trade was a single-leg purchase of 1,500 call contracts at the $105 strike expiring in 2026, totaling $118,500. This far-dated, out-of-the-money call buy suggests a conviction-driven bet on long-term upside rather than a short-term hedge, and it anchored a flow picture that was entirely one-sided toward calls.

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Options Indicators

CoreWeave’s implied volatility is 77.53%, and while that absolute level is high, the IV percentile of 6.37% shows volatility is actually sitting near the low end of its own historical range. In other words, options are currently cheaply priced relative to where they have tended to trade, rather than reflecting an elevated premium environment. With the IV/HV ratio at 1.44, implied volatility is running above realized volatility, suggesting the market is still assigning a meaningful forward-looking risk premium even though overall option pricing remains on the low side versus its past range.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.72.

Large Trades

A CALL buy worth $118,500 targeted the 105.0 strike expiring on 2026-10-23, with 1,500 contracts purchased in a single-leg trade. With the stock reference price at $88.45, this call was out of the money at execution, making it a clearly bullish directional bet that requires upside in CRWV over time to gain intrinsic value. The trade’s structure suggests the buyer was seeking leveraged participation in a future rally rather than expressing a hedge, as purchasing upside calls at an out-of-the-money strike is typically associated with speculative or conviction-driven upside positioning.

Overall, the large-trade flow in CRWV was bullish. The order flow was entirely one-sided toward upside exposure, and the fact that the only notable large trade was an outright out-of-the-money call purchase points to constructive sentiment and a willingness to pay premium for future appreciation. That combination indicates traders were positioning for higher prices rather than protecting against downside, leaving the bulk-order picture skewed positively for CRWV.

Strategy Reference

For a low assignment probability short-premium approach despite the bullish flow, a put seller could consider the $60 strike for the next monthly expiration, while a long call vertical like the $95/$105 spread offers defined upside participation without the margin burden of a naked call purchase.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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